$1.65B a year in installed residential roofing demand across 28 metro and micropolitan areas — #16 of 52 (the 50 states, DC and Puerto Rico).
The Minnesota roofing market is about $1.65B a year in installed residential demand (2.4% of the US total), ranking #16 of 52 states and jurisdictions (the 50 states, DC and Puerto Rico, where modeled). The largest metro is Minneapolis, MN at $1.10B of Minnesota demand. Statewide, the market is roughly 99,217 jobs a year: $1.52B replacement on existing homes and $121.76M new single-family construction.
Every modeled metro with homes in Minnesota. A metro that crosses a state line shows only the share of its demand inside Minnesota; firm counts, scores and saturation describe the whole metro. Each links to its full market file.
| # | Metro | Annual demand | Share of state | Opportunity score | Demand / firm | Saturation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minneapolis, MN (96% in MN) | $1.10B | 66.7% | 80.3 | $4.40M | Wide Open |
| 2 | Rochester, MN | $79.06M | 4.8% | 68.7 | $4.16M | Wide Open |
| 3 | Duluth, MN (84% in MN) | $69.67M | 4.2% | 68.1 | $3.96M | Balanced |
| 4 | St. Cloud, MN | $57.81M | 3.5% | 66.0 | $4.82M | Wide Open |
| 5 | Brainerd, MN | $40.02M | 2.4% | 67.4 | $5.72M | Land Grab |
| 6 | Mankato, MN | $29.94M | 1.8% | 57.7 | $4.28M | Wide Open |
| 7 | Fergus Falls, MN | $22.25M | 1.4% | 55.1 | $741.61K | Knife Fight |
| 8 | Faribault, MN | $21.89M | 1.3% | 60.2 | $10.95M | Land Grab |
| 9 | Winona, MN | $18.66M | 1.1% | 58.1 | $847.99K | Knife Fight |
| 10 | Red Wing, MN | $18.41M | 1.1% | 60.8 | $9.20M | Land Grab |
| 11 | Fargo, ND (30% in MN) | $17.45M | 1.1% | 65.7 | $1.75M | Knife Fight |
| 12 | Grand Rapids, MN | $14.88M | 0.9% | 56.7 | $992.32K | Knife Fight |
| 13 | Willmar, MN | $14.40M | 0.9% | 54.2 | $7.20M | Land Grab |
| 14 | Hutchinson, MN | $13.98M | 0.8% | 56.8 | $6.99M | Land Grab |
| 15 | Owatonna, MN | $13.36M | 0.8% | 51.9 | $3.34M | Wide Open |
| 16 | Detroit Lakes, MN | $12.98M | 0.8% | 58.1 | $6.49M | Land Grab |
| 17 | Austin, MN | $12.96M | 0.8% | 55.4 | $6.48M | Land Grab |
| 18 | Albert Lea, MN | $12.09M | 0.7% | 51.9 | $3.02M | Balanced |
| 19 | Alexandria, MN | $12.06M | 0.7% | 53.9 | $4.02M | Wide Open |
| 20 | Grand Forks, ND (42% in MN) | $11.56M | 0.7% | 59.3 | $2.52M | Crowded |
| 21 | Bemidji, MN | $10.57M | 0.6% | 42.9 | $2.11M | Knife Fight |
| 22 | Marshall, MN | $9.26M | 0.6% | 48.0 | $4.63M | Wide Open |
| 23 | La Crosse, WI (15% in MN) | $8.04M | 0.5% | 67.2 | $2.37M | Crowded |
| 24 | Fairmont, MN | $7.91M | 0.5% | 50.7 | $7.91M | Land Grab |
| 25 | Worthington, MN | $6.90M | 0.4% | 46.5 | $1.15M | Knife Fight |
| 26 | New Ulm, MN | $6.70M | 0.4% | 43.1 | $6.70M | Land Grab |
| 27 | Sioux Falls, SD (4% in MN) | $3.98M | 0.2% | 69.8 | $1.82M | Crowded |
| 28 | Wahpeton, ND (30% in MN) | $1.95M | 0.1% | 44.8 | $495.52K | Knife Fight |
All states (CSV) All 935 metros (CSV)
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Minnesota's metro areas had 1,461,188 single-family detached homes in the 2019–23 Census survey, against 1,411,373 in 2014–18: the stock grew 3.5% over five years. Population changed +3.6% over the same years. Those homes are the base roofing replacement demand is sized on. The dollar market size itself has no measured history, so no growth rate is published for it.
Census Building Permits Survey, 23 metros whose primary state is Minnesota and that report every year.
NOAA Storm Events, 23 metros, every year loaded. Hail pulls roofing replacement forward.
The Minnesota roofing market is about $1.65B a year in installed residential demand (2.4% of the US total), ranking #16 of 52 states and jurisdictions (the 50 states, DC and Puerto Rico, where modeled). The largest metro is Minneapolis, MN at $1.10B of Minnesota demand. Statewide, the market is roughly 99,217 jobs a year: $1.52B replacement on existing homes and $121.76M new single-family construction.
Minneapolis, MN $1.10B; Rochester, MN $79.06M; Duluth, MN $69.67M; St. Cloud, MN $57.81M; Brainerd, MN $40.02M. 28 metro and micropolitan areas in Minnesota are modeled.
By NextTerritory's opportunity score (0-100, a national percentile blend of seven components: market size, growth, affluence, storm exposure, climate, housing age and competition): Minneapolis, MN 80.3; Sioux Falls, SD 69.8; Rochester, MN 68.7. The score is the same national scale for every metro, so it compares across state lines.
Saturation compares each metro's annual roofing demand with its count of specialty contractor establishments (BLS QCEW). Across Minnesota's metros: 9 Land Grab; 7 Wide Open; 2 Balanced; 3 Crowded; 7 Knife Fight. Land Grab is the least crowded cohort nationally, Knife Fight the most.
Minnesota's metro areas had 1,461,188 single-family detached homes in the 2019–23 Census survey, against 1,411,373 in 2014–18: the stock grew 3.5% over five years. Population changed +3.6% over the same years. Those homes are the base roofing replacement demand is sized on. The dollar market size itself has no measured history, so no growth rate is published for it.
Bottom-up, metro by metro: owner-occupied single-family homes divided by the line's service life, adjusted for housing age and hail exposure, priced at the model's average ticket, plus single-family permits at a builder price. Metros that cross a state line are split by single-family housing in each county. Rural counties outside a metro are not modeled.
Free to reuse, including commercially, with credit (CC BY 4.0). Suggested citation:
NextTerritory (2026). Minnesota Roofing Market Size. https://nextterritory.com/us-roofing-market/minnesota. Licensed CC BY 4.0.
States ranked near Minnesota, and the other exterior lines here.