$135.45M a year in installed residential roofing demand across 8 metro and micropolitan areas — #48 of 52 (the 50 states, DC and Puerto Rico).
The North Dakota roofing market is about $135.45M a year in installed residential demand (0.2% of the US total), ranking #48 of 52 states and jurisdictions (the 50 states, DC and Puerto Rico, where modeled). The largest metro is Fargo, ND at $40.45M of North Dakota demand. Statewide, the market is roughly 8,267 jobs a year: $123.16M replacement on existing homes and $12.29M new single-family construction.
Every modeled metro with homes in North Dakota. A metro that crosses a state line shows only the share of its demand inside North Dakota; firm counts, scores and saturation describe the whole metro. Each links to its full market file.
| # | Metro | Annual demand | Share of state | Opportunity score | Demand / firm | Saturation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fargo, ND (70% in ND) | $40.45M | 29.9% | 65.7 | $1.75M | Knife Fight |
| 2 | Bismarck, ND | $36.83M | 27.2% | 59.7 | $1.53M | Knife Fight |
| 3 | Minot, ND | $17.42M | 12.9% | 54.1 | $2.18M | Balanced |
| 4 | Grand Forks, ND (58% in ND) | $16.16M | 11.9% | 59.3 | $2.52M | Crowded |
| 5 | Dickinson, ND | $8.57M | 6.3% | 40.7 | $1.22M | Knife Fight |
| 6 | Williston, ND | $6.76M | 5.0% | 44.3 | $1.69M | Knife Fight |
| 7 | Jamestown, ND | $4.77M | 3.5% | 38.9 | $954.85K | Knife Fight |
| 8 | Wahpeton, ND (70% in ND) | $4.49M | 3.3% | 44.8 | $495.52K | Knife Fight |
All states (CSV) All 935 metros (CSV)
Also on Kaggle · Hugging Face, ready to load into a notebook.
North Dakota's metro areas had 139,110 single-family detached homes in the 2019–23 Census survey, against 132,503 in 2014–18: the stock grew 5.0% over five years. Population changed +5.9% over the same years. Those homes are the base roofing replacement demand is sized on. The dollar market size itself has no measured history, so no growth rate is published for it.
Census Building Permits Survey, 8 metros whose primary state is North Dakota and that report every year.
NOAA Storm Events, 8 metros, every year loaded. Hail pulls roofing replacement forward.
The North Dakota roofing market is about $135.45M a year in installed residential demand (0.2% of the US total), ranking #48 of 52 states and jurisdictions (the 50 states, DC and Puerto Rico, where modeled). The largest metro is Fargo, ND at $40.45M of North Dakota demand. Statewide, the market is roughly 8,267 jobs a year: $123.16M replacement on existing homes and $12.29M new single-family construction.
Fargo, ND $40.45M; Bismarck, ND $36.83M; Minot, ND $17.42M; Grand Forks, ND $16.16M; Dickinson, ND $8.57M. 8 metro and micropolitan areas in North Dakota are modeled.
By NextTerritory's opportunity score (0-100, a national percentile blend of seven components: market size, growth, affluence, storm exposure, climate, housing age and competition): Fargo, ND 65.7; Bismarck, ND 59.7; Grand Forks, ND 59.3. The score is the same national scale for every metro, so it compares across state lines.
Saturation compares each metro's annual roofing demand with its count of specialty contractor establishments (BLS QCEW). Across North Dakota's metros: 1 Balanced; 1 Crowded; 6 Knife Fight. Land Grab is the least crowded cohort nationally, Knife Fight the most.
North Dakota's metro areas had 139,110 single-family detached homes in the 2019–23 Census survey, against 132,503 in 2014–18: the stock grew 5.0% over five years. Population changed +5.9% over the same years. Those homes are the base roofing replacement demand is sized on. The dollar market size itself has no measured history, so no growth rate is published for it.
Bottom-up, metro by metro: owner-occupied single-family homes divided by the line's service life, adjusted for housing age and hail exposure, priced at the model's average ticket, plus single-family permits at a builder price. Metros that cross a state line are split by single-family housing in each county. Rural counties outside a metro are not modeled.
Free to reuse, including commercially, with credit (CC BY 4.0). Suggested citation:
NextTerritory (2026). North Dakota Roofing Market Size. https://nextterritory.com/us-roofing-market/north-dakota. Licensed CC BY 4.0.
States ranked near North Dakota, and the other exterior lines here.